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Prediction markets

12 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

John Pardon
John Pardon99%
Yu Deng
Yu Deng98%9 more
$632KVol. Jul 30science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest75%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest21%2 more
$16KVol. Jul 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

5%

chance

YesNo
$118KVol. Mar 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC58%
1.15–1.19ºC25%4 more
$3.9KVol. Aug 1science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

400-425mm
400-425mm24%
450-475mm
450-475mm22%8 more
$3.0KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

60-70mm
60-70mm42%
50-60mm
50-60mm41%5 more
$2.1KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3159%
August 30
August 3053%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+97%
90-100mm3%6 more
$5.6KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"34%
3-4"
3-4"28%4 more
$1.7KVol. Jul 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

12%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10051%
100–12934%7 more
$1.2KVol. Aug 1science
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

77%

chance

YesNo
$420.01Vol. Dec 31science